Demographic crisis in Kyiv: birth rate has halved — from 35 to 19 thousand

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Let's structure the analysis of this demographic picture and the financial component of the medical system in Kyiv.

Chronology of the demographic peak in the capital

The decline in the birth rate in Kyiv began long before the Great War, but events after 2022 turned this process into a rapid decline:

  • 2015 (pre-war decade high): newborns.

  • 2019 (creeping recession before the pandemic): newborns.

  • After 2022 (military plateau): barely exceeds newborns.

Result: In 10 years, Kyiv has lost Up to 46% from the annual birth rate. However, despite this decline, the capital still remains the absolute leader in the number of children born among all regions of Ukraine, based on the total population.

Complex of reasons: Why has the planning horizon narrowed?

Experts and doctors identify several interrelated factors that make it impossible to make a decision about adding to the family:

  1. Security psychosis and ultra-short planning horizon: When daily life is subordinated to the logic of "getting through this night" due to constant air raids and shelling, planning for a child years ahead becomes psychologically impossible.

  2. Mobilization and the front: A significant portion of men of reproductive age are in the ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which physically separates families.

  3. Large-scale migration: Millions of young women with children have gone abroad, and a significant number of them are adapting in EU countries.

  4. Economic pressure: Labor market instability, infrastructure destruction, and uncertainty about the future are somewhat devaluing financial incentives.

Medical Reform: The Emergence of a Supercluster

In response to the crisis and the decrease in the number of patients, the government and city authorities took the path of consolidating medical institutions. In 2023, through the merger of the 5th and 7th maternity hospitals, a new hospital was created. KNP "Perinatal Center of Kyiv" — the largest obstetrics and gynecology cluster in the country.

Its dynamics reflect the general trend, although due to the concentration of patients, the numbers remain high:

  • 2017 (before merger): 7,000 births.

  • 2024 (after unification): 7,000 births.

  • 2025: 7,600 births (decline even within the main institution).

National Health Service Mathematics: How much does the state pay for childbirth?

Despite the crisis, the system's funding under the Medical Guarantees Program remains stable. For patients, childbirth in public institutions is free of charge, and hospitals receive direct money from the National Health Service of Ukraine (NHSU):

  • Basic rate for 1 delivery: (paid to the institution for the very fact of taking delivery).

  • Total maternity payments in Kyiv (as of 2020): ponad .

  • Share of the Kyiv Perinatal Center: .

  • Additional funds for complex cases: allocated for neonatal care, and also — for nursing premature babies (since the center accumulates the most severe pathologies and premature births).

Visnovok

Kyiv statistics clearly prove: purely financial instruments (state benefits, free childbirth from the National Health Insurance Fund) unable to reverse the demographic trendThe main prerequisites for the restoration of fertility are security, the return of women from abroad, and the de-occupation and stabilization of the country, which will allow Ukrainians to once again plan for the future beyond one day.