Differentiated tariff up to UAH 7: who is at risk of a potential increase in the price of electricity

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In Ukraine, the Cabinet of Ministers and the relevant regulator (NEURC) are considering new scenarios for reforming the electricity market. One of the possible options involves a differentiated increase in the cost of a kilowatt-hour — approximately by 70% (up to 7 hryvnias per kWh) for certain categories of household consumers. The government has not yet made a final decision on the implementation of this model.

Who is eligible for a potential raise?

The new approach is designed to shift the main financial burden to those who consume the most resources. The increase in prices may affect:

  • Owners of large houses and apartments: where a significant number of energy-intensive household appliances are used.

  • Households with electric heating: and powerful water heating systems (boilers), which create peak loads on the power system in the evening hours.

For citizens with low incomes and small consumption, they plan to maintain the current base tariff or introduce a system of targeted housing subsidies and compensations.

Why does the energy market need reforms?

Experts and representatives of energy companies call the revision of tariffs virtually inevitable due to several critical factors:

  1. Shortage of funds for repairs: Large-scale destruction of generation and distribution networks after massive enemy attacks requires billions in capital investments to stabilize the system before next winter.

  2. Cost discrepancy: Current prices for the population do not cover the real costs of electricity production and transportation.

  3. Phased changes: The option of gradually introducing market prices for the population is being considered, which is one of the recommendations of international partners.

Official status: how much do we pay now?

Despite lengthy expert discussions, the Cabinet of Ministers fixed the current electricity tariff for the population at the level UAH 4,32 per kWh at least until October 31, 2026.

Any new prices (including the scenario with a tariff of up to UAH 7) can be implemented only after completion of additional economic calculations, official approval by the regulator, and a separate resolution of the Cabinet of Ministers.

The material was prepared based on monitoring of the profile market and statements from representatives of the energy sector.